Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.464068 0.544908 0.633625 0.737938 0.856944 0.988184 1.143565
2024-11-03 0.345681 0.454581 0.585880 0.754605 0.964298 1.214861 1.535287
2024-11-10 0.267123 0.387655 0.545184 0.763248 1.053914 1.424254 1.927377
2024-11-17 0.212026 0.335947 0.509809 0.766420 1.129319 1.616991 2.313070
2024-11-24 0.174950 0.299975 0.486790 0.778387 1.212242 1.822110 2.729225
2024-12-01 0.144830 0.267414 0.461598 0.780574 1.277333 2.004085 3.124847
2024-12-08 0.115767 0.230126 0.422019 0.753263 1.292190 2.111014 3.417261
2024-12-15 0.102123 0.216271 0.417407 0.779329 1.389860 2.346618 3.915401
2024-12-22 0.089740 0.202084 0.409556 0.797893 1.475609 2.568645 4.406880
2024-12-29 0.083278 0.197947 0.418570 0.845810 1.613368 2.881846 5.061105
2025-01-05 0.071450 0.180475 0.400038 0.841473 1.660058 3.049058 5.490762
2025-01-12 0.060984 0.163688 0.380085 0.831429 1.694497 3.196631 5.895730
2025-01-19 0.052088 0.148810 0.362184 0.823961 1.734400 3.359215 6.342229
2025-01-26 0.046421 0.140426 0.356645 0.840360 1.820374 3.608544 6.954073
2025-02-02 0.040946 0.131285 0.347995 0.849123 1.892130 3.837116 7.543812
2025-02-09 0.035871 0.121984 0.337450 0.852331 1.952732 4.048843 8.115821
2025-02-16 0.032054 0.115252 0.331817 0.865357 2.033816 4.303320 8.779234
2025-02-23 0.028178 0.107363 0.322057 0.867717 2.092641 4.518899 9.382895
2025-03-02 0.023384 0.095306 0.299651 0.837742 2.079845 4.594753 9.729262
2025-03-09 0.021655 0.092744 0.301737 0.866333 2.195939 4.930464 10.586018
2025-03-16 0.019781 0.089194 0.300560 0.886688 2.295304 5.238453 11.405188
2025-03-23 0.019162 0.089995 0.311715 0.939212 2.471143 5.711183 12.568212
2025-03-30 0.016791 0.083596 0.301063 0.934459 2.515237 5.915892 13.213537